Monday, October 27, 2008

Limerick 28.10.8

Races over 6f 100yds on Yielding or softer. Time will be about 1.33. There is a run of 1.5 fur from stalls to 1st bend. This bend lasts to 2.5fur out. In other words the bend is 2.5fur long so you dont want to be on outside. The trip is 6.5 fur.
4 races meet criteria

Heavy. 14 ran mdn. Draw 3,6,7. Run notes Led, ran 2nd, tracked ldrs
Soft. 13 ran hcp. Draw 4,9,5. Run notes ran 3rd, ran 2nd, mid div
Yieldng.14 ran hcp. Draw12,7,10.Run notes, ran 4th, led, ran 3rd
Yieldng.14 ran hcp. Draw 6,10,3. Run notes ran 3rd, led, chsd ldrs

Conclusions:
The draw isnt vital - you can win from anywhere - you definately dont want outer stalls in 1 or 2 but equally the performance of 14,13,12,11 are disappionting with only 1 placed from 12 tries
However it is vital to run prominent. In 4 races 16 horses will have raced in the 1st 4, 8 or these filled all 8 places.
The horses that led finished 1st, 2nd, 2nd & 4th at 25/1.
The winners were 6 & 7f performers.



RESULTS from 28.10.8
Heavy. 13 ran Mdn. Draw 10,9,6. Run notes - mid div, led, chsd ldrs
Heavy. 14 ran Mdn. Draw 4, 8, 2. Run notes - ran 3rd, ran 2nd, led
Heavy. 14 ran Hcp. Draw 7,11,5. Run notes -ran 5th, ran 2nd, ran 3rd

Again the draw isnt vital although again stalls 14, 13, 12 underperformed and you dont want outer draw of 1. Again you want to run prominent but not necessarily lead.

8f 50yd races
Draw isnt important as there is a 3f run to 1st bend.

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