Thursday, October 30, 2008

Catterick 4.11.08

6f Nursery
2009. 9/2, Draw 3 of 9. Made All. Prev form 06153. Form 7f. Best run last. Colt. 4wk.
2008. 17/2, Draw 2 of 4.Close up. Prev form 94310. Form 5f. Best run 2nd last.Colt. 5wk.
2007. 3/1f. Draw 2 of 8. Made All. Prev form 225231022. Form 6f. Best runs last 2. Filly. 2wk
2006. 5/2f. Draw 1 of 6. Made All. Prev form 772 Form 7f/6f. Best run last. Filly 2wk
2005. 6/1. Draw 2 of 10. Made All. Prev form 651 Form 5f/6f. Best run last. Colt 1wk
2004. 3/1. Draw 2 of 10. Rear. Prev form 35764811 Form 6f. Best run last. Colt 1wk
2003. 6/1. Draw 11 of 12. Close up. Prev form 85068310514 Form 6f/5f. Best run last.Colt 1wk
2002. 5/4f. Draw 6 of 12. Close up. Prev form 7454012 Form 6f. Best runs last 2. Colt 1wk
2001. 3/1. Draw 3 of 12. Close up. Prev form 42219213 Form 6f. Best runs last 2.Filly 3wk
1999. 11/2 Draw 4 of 8. Close up. Prev form 6603614 Form 5f/6f. Best run last. Colt.1wk

Conclusion:
Recent form is all important. 7 of 10 winners had raced in last 2 weeks ( 9 in last 4 weeks).
9 had finished in last 4 on last run . 7 had won in last 2 runs. 9 had finished in 1st 2 in at least 1 of their last 2 runs.
All had recorded their career best rating in last 2 runs, most last time.
9 were 6/1 or less but not necessarily favourite.
Draw - 9 of 10 winners were drawn in bottom half of field, with stalls 1-4 covering 8 wins.
9 of the 10 raced close up
All had 6f form when race run at 6f
7 colts, 3 fillies
Has raced 3 or more times - 6 had run at least 7 times. A lot of runs is positive not negative.


2009 even though now run at 7f the winner met most trends. FROM 2009 RACE 7F,

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