ASCOTStalls 1-3 were 0-86 over 5f and 6f in 2007. Over 7f stalls 1-3 were 1-47 (Candidato Roy was the only winner when he raced solo against the stands rail).
AYR31 of the 41 handicaps run on the round course in 2007 went to a horse from the top half of the draw.
BATHSince 2005 in sprint handicaps with 12 or more runners, stalls 1-3 are 0-71 (six of those started favourite at 3-1 or shorter and all six were unplaced). Since 2000 in sprint handicaps with 16 or more runners, stalls 1-4 are 1-121.
CHESTERBacking every horse drawn in stall 1 in every race at Chester since 2000 would have produced 109 wins from 555 runs and a level stakes profit of 67.56 points. The distances punters should concentrate on are at both extremes - 5f (31-125, + 73.62) and 1m4f and beyond (25-114, +44.61).
EPSOMIn double-figure fields at 1m 4f only Eshwarah and Oath have won from stalls 1 or 2 since 1999 (2-115 in total).
GOODWOODStall 1 is only 2-82 on the straight course (5f and 6f) over the last two years; the two winners both won again next time.
LEICESTERIn all 6f races run since 2000 stall 1 has record of 25 wins from 150 runs and a profit of 23.65 points.
NEWBURYThe winner made all in only two of the 57 handicaps run at Newbury in 2007.
SANDOWNSince 1998 the record of all favourites from double-figure draws in handicaps at 7f or 1m is just 5 wins from 45 runs (in other words high-drawn horses tend to be overbet in big fields at these distances).
WARWICKStill arguably the most dramatic and yet least-known draw-bias stat around, despite being highlighted in this column two years ago. Since 2000 backing stalls 1 and 2 blindly in all races at 1m+ has produced 89 wins from 613 runs and a level stakes profit of 495.71pts. Even allowing for the fact that one of the winners (Beechy Bank in 2002) started at 200-1, this is still an enormous profit for a very simple system. It has shown a profit in each of the last seven years
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
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